Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.045949 0.053673 0.062164 0.072173 0.083631 0.096317 0.111407
2025-02-16 0.032612 0.042300 0.053971 0.068995 0.087739 0.110265 0.139292
2025-02-23 0.023831 0.033994 0.047288 0.065787 0.090665 0.122741 0.166964
2025-03-02 0.018155 0.028246 0.042468 0.063679 0.094149 0.135905 0.196910
2025-03-09 0.014756 0.024828 0.039999 0.064059 0.100667 0.153541 0.234705
2025-03-16 0.011646 0.021122 0.036326 0.061868 0.102864 0.165003 0.264786
2025-03-23 0.010250 0.019847 0.036114 0.064826 0.113047 0.189169 0.316088
2025-03-30 0.008712 0.017987 0.034567 0.065257 0.119079 0.207370 0.359874
2025-04-06 0.007196 0.015832 0.032103 0.063650 0.121341 0.219535 0.394953
2025-04-13 0.006032 0.014105 0.030091 0.062475 0.124059 0.232530 0.432422
2025-04-20 0.005539 0.013650 0.030414 0.065659 0.134936 0.260508 0.497985
2025-04-27 0.005054 0.013109 0.030462 0.068277 0.144985 0.287871 0.564792
2025-05-04 0.004189 0.011538 0.028153 0.065890 0.145266 0.297797 0.601749
2025-05-11 0.003591 0.010471 0.026751 0.065189 0.148809 0.314178 0.652243
2025-05-18 0.003011 0.009311 0.024928 0.063282 0.149597 0.325282 0.693698
2025-05-25 0.002552 0.008359 0.023418 0.061831 0.151132 0.337938 0.739232
2025-06-01 0.002270 0.007834 0.022860 0.062510 0.157380 0.360687 0.806782
2025-06-08 0.001911 0.006983 0.021307 0.060524 0.157333 0.370268 0.848225
2025-06-15 0.001799 0.006874 0.021713 0.063509 0.169178 0.406253 0.947653
2025-06-22 0.001606 0.006453 0.021178 0.063976 0.175060 0.429748 1.022412
2025-06-29 0.001374 0.005833 0.019956 0.062422 0.175794 0.441832 1.073430
2025-07-06 0.001187 0.005318 0.018944 0.061279 0.177403 0.456002 1.130148
2025-07-13 0.001133 0.005287 0.019417 0.064414 0.190373 0.497611 1.251683